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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 17 September 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222112
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 12
  4. 17
  5. 20
  6. 3

Jackpot€3,500,000

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,183 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-09-14All recent draws2022-09-19 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 3 12 17 20 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 12 17 20 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd65th
  • low99th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

1230times
3223times
12209times
17225times
20

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-17

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€18.1Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang14 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang177%€14.0M
  • rang87.9%€1.4M
  • rang96.2%€1.1M
  • 6 other tiers8.3%€1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang14≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

217times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 218 of each

3216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,182 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 3, 17, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 March 2016 — its closest relative in 2,182 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

53

The numbers add up to 53 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,500,000
  • rang28≈ 3.2 by chance€31,320
  • rang3161≈ 78 by chance€380
  • rang41,176≈ 701 by chance€188
  • rang55,142≈ 3.4k by chance€25.60
  • rang637,330≈ 30k by chance€12.70
  • rang754,275≈ 47k by chance€6.70
  • rang8422,222≈ 422k by chance€3.40
  • rang9512,935€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,176 winners, 68% more than the 701 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang14€3,500,000
    rang28€31,320
    rang3161€380
    rang41,176€188
    rang55,142€25.60
    rang637,330€12.70
    rang754,275€6.70
    rang8422,222€3.40
    rang9512,935€2.20