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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 13 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211019
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 17
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 10

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 70% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,934 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-10All recent draws2021-02-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 13 17 28 31 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 17 28 31 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

9201times
13226times
17201times
28195times
31

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-13

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.6Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • rang613%€581.0K
  • rang839%€1.8M
  • rang921%€943.0K
  • 5 other tiers28%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.41 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

199times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

10183times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,933 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 13, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 October 2020 — its closest relative in 1,933 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 February 2021): 13 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang211≈ 3.7 by chance€28,038
  • rang393≈ 91 by chance€809
  • rang41,515≈ 819 by chance€179
  • rang53,333≈ 3.9k by chance€48.60
  • rang645,039≈ 35k by chance€12.90
  • rang739,269≈ 55k by chance€11.50
  • rang8492,885≈ 493k by chance€3.60
  • rang9428,651€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,515 winners, 85% more than the 819 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang211€28,038
    rang393€809
    rang41,515€179
    rang53,333€48.60
    rang645,039€12.90
    rang739,269€11.50
    rang8492,885€3.60
    rang9428,651€2.20