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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 8 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211017
  1. 5
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 19
  5. 29
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 35% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,932 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-06All recent draws2021-02-10 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 9 10 19 29 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 9 10 19 29 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

5197times
9200times
10194times
19178times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 656k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€292.7K
  • rang836%€905.5K
  • rang927%€682.2K
  • 5 other tiers25%€638.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

209times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

8173times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,931 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 10, 19, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 June 2013 — its closest relative in 1,931 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 February 2021): 9 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

72

The numbers add up to 72 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang29≈ 2.1 by chance€17,264
  • rang3101≈ 52 by chance€375
  • rang4999≈ 470 by chance€137
  • rang52,807≈ 2.2k by chance€29.10
  • rang628,421≈ 20k by chance€10.30
  • rang730,602≈ 31k by chance€7.40
  • rang8282,962≈ 283k by chance€3.20
  • rang9310,069€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 28,421 winners, 41% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang29€17,264
    rang3101€375
    rang4999€137
    rang52,807€29.10
    rang628,421€10.30
    rang730,602€7.40
    rang8282,962€3.20
    rang9310,069€2.20