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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 3 February 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211015
  1. 17
  2. 21
  3. 26
  4. 31
  5. 37
  6. 10

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,930 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-02-01All recent draws2021-02-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official17 21 26 31 37 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed17 21 26 31 37 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

17200times
21186times
26205times
31198times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 557k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang613%€380.1K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang920%€604.6K
  • 5 other tiers28%€826.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

194times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

10181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,929 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 21, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 March 2020 — its closest relative in 1,929 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2021): 17, 21 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.8 by chance€200,897
  • rang322≈ 45 by chance€2,229
  • rang4377≈ 406 by chance€469
  • rang51,309≈ 1.9k by chance€80.70
  • rang616,670≈ 17k by chance€22.80
  • rang719,115≈ 27k by chance€15.40
  • rang8244,525≈ 245k by chance€4.70
  • rang9274,836€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,309 winners, 33% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€200,897
    rang322€2,229
    rang4377€469
    rang51,309€80.70
    rang616,670€22.80
    rang719,115€15.40
    rang8244,525€4.70
    rang9274,836€2.20