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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£32,121,946
The crowdHeld 31% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,023 of 1,048 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,022 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 37, 42, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 November 2022 — its closest relative in 1,022 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 10% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 July 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 752,440 winners, 31% more than the 574k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 752,440 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 301,034 | £4.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 66,955 | £6.30 |
| Match 3 | 50,012 | £6.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 12,776 | £13.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,400 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 866 | £55.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,168 | £28.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 467 | £97.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24 | £1,026 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £15,810 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £169,120 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £32,121,946 |