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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£124,643,821
The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 961 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 December 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 960 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 13, 29) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 May 2025 — its closest relative in 960 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 December 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 971 winners, 12% more than the 870 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,301,047 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 571,700 | £3.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 143,957 | £4.50 |
| Match 3 | 93,471 | £5.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,586 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 41,793 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,982 | £37.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,143 | £24.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 971 | £72.00 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 46 | £826 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £74,536 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £124,643,821 |