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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£26,038,157
The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 942 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 157 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 941 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 18, 25) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 July 2024 — its closest relative in 941 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 102 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 2,427 winners, 23% more than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,109,294 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 531,787 | £3.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 149,056 | £3.70 |
| Match 3 | 81,557 | £5.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31,531 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 40,937 | £5.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,427 | £25.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,952 | £22.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 985 | £60.00 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 67 | £479 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £12,892 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £26,038,157 |