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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£184,536,067
The crowdHeld 26% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 927 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 154 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 926 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (18, 28, 46, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 August 2017 — its closest relative in 926 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 August 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 182 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈40M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 839 winners, 36% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,364,969 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 640,893 | £4.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 215,719 | £3.90 |
| Match 3 | 92,517 | £7.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36,957 | £9.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 42,492 | £8.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,359 | £40.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,914 | £35.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 839 | £109 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 58 | £854 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £680,768 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £184,536,067 |