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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£84,014,945
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 919 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 918 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 45, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 July 2025 — its closest relative in 918 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 July 2025): 24, 45, 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 197 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 503 winners, 17% fewer than the 604 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 859,234 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 362,410 | £4.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 99,931 | £5.10 |
| Match 3 | 58,905 | £7.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,486 | £11.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 24,263 | £9.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,155 | £50.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,242 | £33.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 503 | £111 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24 | £1,257 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £9,688 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £84,014,945 |