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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£53,555,254
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 875 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 874 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 21, 41, 46) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 February 2019 — its closest relative in 874 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 8.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 February 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 147 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,056 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 805,259 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 343,915 | £4.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 94,596 | £5.40 |
| Match 3 | 51,207 | £8.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 16,549 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 21,756 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,056 | £54.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,087 | £37.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 519 | £106 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30 | £993 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £53,555,254 |