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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,108,300
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 860 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 859 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 21, 33) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 January 2024 — its closest relative in 859 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 December 2024): 21 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 128 — the 50th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,095,328 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,095,328 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 496,007 | £3.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 142,307 | £4.30 |
| Match 3 | 77,174 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,621 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 35,050 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,908 | £36.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,797 | £27.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 792 | £82.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 47 | £757 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £14,288 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £163,019 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,108,300 |