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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,871,600
The crowdHeld 68% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 861 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 860 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 10, 24) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 March 2022 — its closest relative in 860 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 December 2024): 10 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 79 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,663 winners, 129% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,235,083 | £2.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 409,663 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 85,694 | £6.50 |
| Match 3 | 97,631 | £4.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 16,824 | £13.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,239 | £8.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,285 | £49.10 |
| Match 4 | 2,663 | £16.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 763 | £78.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32 | £1,013 |
| Match 5 | 16 | £6,503 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £23,871,600 |