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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£45,909,304
The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 834 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 833 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 29, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 January 2022 — its closest relative in 833 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈39M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,537 winners, 46% fewer than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 994,624 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 502,378 | £3.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 207,694 | £3.00 |
| Match 3 | 68,306 | £7.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37,366 | £6.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 34,527 | £8.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,608 | £27.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,537 | £32.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 752 | £89.40 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 54 | £677 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £9,023 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £167,295 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £45,909,304 |