Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,076,027
The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 799 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 133 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 798 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 13, 34) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 April 2023 — its closest relative in 798 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 9,666 winners, 40% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €461,188 |
| rang3 | 0 | €21,557 |
| rang4 | 5 | €1,017 |
| rang5 | 86 | €138 |
| rang6 | 285 | €51.70 |
| rang7 | 172 | €49.90 |
| rang8 | 4,912 | €11.30 |
| rang9 | 4,994 | €11.10 |
| rang10 | 9,666 | €10.30 |
| rang11 | 26,798 | €5.20 |
| rang12 | 80,213 | €5.00 |
| rang13 | 152,005 | €4.10 |