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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,751,465
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 795 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 13 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 132 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 794 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (35, 36, 41) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 January 2022 — its closest relative in 794 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 199 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36, 41–42. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 3,542 winners, 24% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang3 | 1 | €202,576 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,708 |
| rang5 | 73 | €191 |
| rang6 | 181 | €83.00 |
| rang7 | 183 | €61.00 |
| rang8 | 2,979 | €18.00 |
| rang9 | 3,542 | €16.50 |
| rang10 | 8,273 | €13.30 |
| rang11 | 17,543 | €7.90 |
| rang12 | 59,798 | €7.10 |
| rang13 | 138,723 | €4.90 |