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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£41,977,767
The crowdHeld 60% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 713 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 712 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 27, 37) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 January 2019 — its closest relative in 712 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 7.3% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 July 2023): 7 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 87 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 21,143 winners, 105% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €104,442 |
| rang3 | 2 | €8,137 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,584 |
| rang5 | 166 | €103 |
| rang6 | 333 | €57.30 |
| rang7 | 529 | €22.10 |
| rang8 | 3,696 | €16.10 |
| rang9 | 6,778 | €9.60 |
| rang10 | 21,143 | €5.70 |
| rang11 | 17,228 | €8.20 |
| rang12 | 83,190 | €5.40 |
| rang13 | 236,908 | €3.10 |