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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£58,309,892
The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 663 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 110 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 662 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 33, 43) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 December 2022 — its closest relative in 662 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 January 2023): 19 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 114 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 218,197 winners, 44% fewer than the 390k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €66,081,021 |
| rang2 | 1 | €202,795 |
| rang3 | 4 | €28,438 |
| rang4 | 14 | €447 |
| rang5 | 231 | €83.90 |
| rang6 | 858 | €22.10 |
| rang7 | 377 | €35.10 |
| rang8 | 10,824 | €6.40 |
| rang9 | 10,115 | €8.00 |
| rang10 | 16,652 | €8.30 |
| rang11 | 45,468 | €3.80 |
| rang12 | 126,696 | €4.40 |
| rang13 | 218,197 | €3.80 |