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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£78,341,770
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 633 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 632 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 13, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 31 May 2022 — its closest relative in 632 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 October 2022): 48 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 111 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 16,453 winners, 14% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €155,132 |
| rang3 | 1 | €29,006 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,457 |
| rang5 | 133 | €140 |
| rang6 | 296 | €64.10 |
| rang7 | 333 | €41.10 |
| rang8 | 4,761 | €14.40 |
| rang9 | 6,877 | €11.20 |
| rang10 | 16,453 | €8.70 |
| rang11 | 24,216 | €7.10 |
| rang12 | 102,808 | €5.40 |
| rang13 | 235,210 | €3.70 |