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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£36,121,026
The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 629 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 628 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 28, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 October 2019 — its closest relative in 628 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3, 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 134 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 193,625 winners, 27% more than the 153k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €92,437 |
| rang3 | 0 | €16,203 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,187 |
| rang5 | 125 | €132 |
| rang6 | 233 | €69.20 |
| rang7 | 302 | €39.40 |
| rang8 | 3,377 | €17.00 |
| rang9 | 5,726 | €11.80 |
| rang10 | 13,371 | €9.30 |
| rang11 | 17,797 | €8.30 |
| rang12 | 82,679 | €5.70 |
| rang13 | 193,625 | €3.90 |