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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£35,051,148
The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 610 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 609 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 38, 43) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 February 2022 — its closest relative in 609 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 July 2022): 3 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 15,592 winners, 32% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €41,717,625 |
| rang2 | 1 | €247,760 |
| rang3 | 2 | €19,302 |
| rang4 | 12 | €1,041 |
| rang5 | 208 | €112 |
| rang6 | 507 | €41.60 |
| rang7 | 375 | €44.20 |
| rang8 | 6,881 | €11.30 |
| rang9 | 8,097 | €10.50 |
| rang10 | 15,592 | €10.40 |
| rang11 | 38,493 | €5.30 |
| rang12 | 117,139 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 231,786 | €4.40 |