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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£124,787,147
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 523 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 522 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 12, 33) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 February 2021 — its closest relative in 522 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 September 2021): 12 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 464 winners, 33% fewer than the 697 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €225,473 |
| rang3 | 1 | €210,787 |
| rang4 | 11 | €1,397 |
| rang5 | 232 | €125 |
| rang6 | 666 | €51.80 |
| rang7 | 464 | €42.00 |
| rang8 | 10,404 | €11.90 |
| rang9 | 12,491 | €10.20 |
| rang10 | 24,650 | €9.00 |
| rang11 | 51,260 | €5.90 |
| rang12 | 185,226 | €4.90 |
| rang13 | 370,606 | €3.70 |