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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,591,100
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 502 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 501 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 42, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 January 2021 — its closest relative in 501 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 July 2021): 5 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 159 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang8 — 3,423 winners, 9% fewer than the 3.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €123,838 |
| rang3 | 0 | €36,179 |
| rang4 | 4 | €1,610 |
| rang5 | 109 | €153 |
| rang6 | 253 | €69.50 |
| rang7 | 218 | €53.90 |
| rang8 | 3,423 | €17.10 |
| rang9 | 4,878 | €13.50 |
| rang10 | 11,242 | €11.20 |
| rang11 | 19,710 | €7.70 |
| rang12 | 74,960 | €6.20 |
| rang13 | 180,569 | €4.40 |