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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,572,400
The crowdHeld 56% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 499 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 498 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 5, 27, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 July 2019 — its closest relative in 498 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 13,722 winners, 66% more than the 8.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €17,000,000 |
| rang2 | 1 | €241,620 |
| rang3 | 0 | €18,824 |
| rang4 | 5 | €1,529 |
| rang5 | 121 | €111 |
| rang6 | 195 | €62.10 |
| rang7 | 292 | €33.90 |
| rang8 | 2,765 | €15.90 |
| rang9 | 5,323 | €10.30 |
| rang10 | 13,722 | €7.80 |
| rang11 | 13,829 | €7.90 |
| rang12 | 71,885 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 185,381 | €3.50 |