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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£37,822,859
The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 480 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 479 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 24, 46) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 December 2020 — its closest relative in 479 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 April 2021): 24 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 115 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 251,389 winners, 14% more than the 220k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €281,487 |
| rang3 | 0 | €19,736 |
| rang4 | 7 | €1,118 |
| rang5 | 130 | €143 |
| rang6 | 323 | €63.90 |
| rang7 | 381 | €43.40 |
| rang8 | 4,787 | €15.60 |
| rang9 | 6,844 | €12.30 |
| rang10 | 17,500 | €9.60 |
| rang11 | 25,669 | €7.30 |
| rang12 | 100,966 | €5.90 |
| rang13 | 251,389 | €4.00 |