Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,541,000
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 496 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 495 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 495 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 32, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 April 2012 — its closest relative in 495 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 February 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 149 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈35M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,662 winners, 31% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,275,854 | £3.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 636,653 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 222,426 | £7.00 |
| Match 3 | 82,686 | £10.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 38,320 | £14.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 42,708 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,405 | £49.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,662 | £101 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 887 | £190 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 60 | £3,202 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £48,036 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £576,435 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,541,000 |