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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,373,000
The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 495 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 494 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 494 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 10, 36) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 January 2016 — its closest relative in 494 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 January 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 82 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 2,870 winners, 20% more than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,080,519 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 572,734 | £5.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 179,456 | £6.30 |
| Match 3 | 77,614 | £8.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 38,338 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 44,127 | £8.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,870 | £30.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,722 | £70.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 987 | £123 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 62 | £2,247 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £39,802 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £167,169 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £11,373,000 |