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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,112,000
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 483 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 482 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 482 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (18, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 November 2015 — its closest relative in 482 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 138 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19, 19–20, 40–41. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 47 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,359 winners, 17% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 953,657 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 461,542 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 123,084 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 | 59,773 | £10.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22,046 | £18.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 28,753 | £13.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,359 | £64.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,202 | £102 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 624 | £196 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31 | £4,505 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £46,551 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £167,584 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,112,000 |