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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£29,532,380
The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 418 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 417 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 417 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 19, 49) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 June 2012 — its closest relative in 417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 136 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈26M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,451,459 winners, 27% more than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,451,459 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 669,201 | £6.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 167,036 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 | 98,992 | £8.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32,240 | £16.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 45,206 | £11.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,132 | £55.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,167 | £76.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 990 | £167 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 45 | £4,210 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £27,063 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £378,884 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £29,532,380 |