Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,723,432
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 417 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 416 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 416 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 10, 17) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 February 2012 — its closest relative in 416 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 May 2015): 20 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 90 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 812 winners, 26% more than the 643 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 966,105 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 500,560 | £5.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 118,352 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 | 69,937 | £8.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,085 | £16.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 35,553 | £9.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,551 | £51.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,530 | £73.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 812 | £139 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32 | £4,025 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £22,723,432 |