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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,977,500
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 338 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 337 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 337 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (24, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 July 2014 — its closest relative in 337 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 July 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 212 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,761 winners, 14% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,033,461 | £3.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 511,058 | £7.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 153,875 | £8.60 |
| Match 3 | 68,479 | £11.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,722 | £17.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 34,444 | £13.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,761 | £58.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,800 | £79.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 946 | £151 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 41 | £3,986 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £23,349 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £163,444 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,977,500 |