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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£33,974,184
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 316 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 315 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 315 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 26, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 18 February 2014 — its closest relative in 315 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 May 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈29M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 699,811 winners, 10% more than the 635k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,272,005 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 699,811 | £5.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 185,290 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 | 86,497 | £9.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,429 | £14.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 46,874 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,387 | £46.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,879 | £82.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,003 | £154 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 60 | £2,949 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £58,983 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £33,974,184 |