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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£21,498,732
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 252 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 251 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 251 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 20, 24, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 May 2013 — its closest relative in 251 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 2.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 135 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,259 winners, 30% more than the 966 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,362,253 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 659,199 | £5.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 177,687 | £8.00 |
| Match 3 | 88,361 | £9.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,294 | £14.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,254 | £11.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,256 | £48.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,940 | £79.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,259 | £122 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 52 | £3,374 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £35,088 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £21,498,732 |