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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£18,557,708
The crowdHeld 70% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 205 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 204 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 April 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 204 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 10, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 March 2013 — its closest relative in 204 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 62% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 April 2013): 1 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 72 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,329 winners, 152% more than the 527 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,128,633 | £2.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 492,257 | £5.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 96,885 | £9.40 |
| Match 3 | 92,383 | £5.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19,788 | £16.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 41,964 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,488 | £47.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,654 | £37.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,329 | £74.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 39 | £2,892 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £22,557 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £96,673 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £18,557,708 |