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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£28,307,148
The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 176 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 175 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 175 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 January 2013 — its closest relative in 175 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 January 2013): 22 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 133 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈47M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,276 winners, 31% fewer than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,472,297 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 818,473 | £5.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 301,636 | £5.50 |
| Match 3 | 103,499 | £9.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 57,143 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 56,477 | £9.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,957 | £32.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,276 | £78.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,251 | £143 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 79 | £2,596 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £51,265 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £246,070 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £28,307,148 |