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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£21,875,652
The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 172 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 171 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 171 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (27, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 September 2012 — its closest relative in 171 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,964 winners, 48% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,523,353 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 896,679 | £4.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 344,435 | £4.80 |
| Match 3 | 100,353 | £9.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 65,596 | £8.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 57,710 | £9.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,175 | £30.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,964 | £90.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,100 | £162 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 60 | £3,392 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £37,007 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £244,247 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £21,875,652 |