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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£30,730,347
The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 173 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 172 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 172 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 8) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 October 2012 — its closest relative in 172 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 December 2012): 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 102 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,613,896 winners, 18% more than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,613,896 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 691,259 | £6.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 199,783 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 | 107,533 | £8.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 38,095 | £15.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 46,444 | £11.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,590 | £48.70 |
| Match 4 | 2,257 | £78.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 996 | £178 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 50 | £4,043 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £44,927 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £606,509 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3 | £10,243,449 |