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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£27,864,810
The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 164 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 163 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 163 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 24, 40) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 November 2011 — its closest relative in 163 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 November 2012): 10, 23 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 115 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 913,638 winners, 16% more than the 784k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,652,684 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 913,638 | £5.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 228,795 | £7.50 |
| Match 3 | 112,813 | £8.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 44,949 | £13.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 62,246 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,151 | £41.90 |
| Match 4 | 2,353 | £78.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,353 | £137 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 64 | £3,306 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £60,447 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £158,672 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £27,864,810 |