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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£122,416,480
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 158 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 157 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 157 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 22, 28) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 December 2011 — its closest relative in 157 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 November 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈63M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 118,488 winners, 23% more than the 96k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,781,885 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,586,935 | £4.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 401,261 | £7.20 |
| Match 3 | 206,667 | £8.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 78,766 | £13.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 118,488 | £8.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,794 | £38.80 |
| Match 4 | 4,164 | £75.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,257 | £140 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 138 | £2,610 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £51,463 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £240,159 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £122,416,480 |