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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,016,500
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 141 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 140 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 140 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 August 2012 — its closest relative in 140 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 September 2012): 15 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈23M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 65,288 winners, 7% fewer than the 70k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 937,558 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 486,463 | £5.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 147,164 | £6.80 |
| Match 3 | 65,288 | £8.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,790 | £12.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 34,061 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,926 | £40.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,588 | £68.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 838 | £130 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 50 | £2,495 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £19,192 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,016,500 |