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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£110,973,504
The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 128 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 127 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 127 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 June 2012 — its closest relative in 127 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈81M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 4,278,679 winners, 21% more than the 3.5M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 4,278,679 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,957,361 | £6.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 516,608 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 | 284,470 | £8.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 98,588 | £15.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 130,475 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,586 | £50.60 |
| Match 4 | 6,106 | £76.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,720 | £172 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 141 | £3,789 |
| Match 5 | 25 | £42,739 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 16 | £200,340 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £110,973,504 |