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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,508,500
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 91 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 90 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 90 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 16, 30) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 June 2011 — its closest relative in 90 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 March 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 135 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 449,131 winners, 13% more than the 398k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 810,237 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 449,131 | £5.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 115,946 | £7.50 |
| Match 3 | 55,319 | £8.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,898 | £14.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 31,068 | £9.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,486 | £45.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,146 | £82.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 672 | £140 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35 | £3,069 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £26,858 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,508,500 |