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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,850,500
The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 56 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 55 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 55 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 39) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 October 2011 — its closest relative in 55 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈39M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,887 winners, 39% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,513,392 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 845,638 | £4.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 249,511 | £6.20 |
| Match 3 | 111,437 | £7.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 51,865 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 68,067 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,437 | £26.80 |
| Match 4 | 2,880 | £57.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,887 | £88.50 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 128 | £1,491 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £34,708 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £163,623 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,850,500 |