Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£65,488,524
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 31 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 30 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 30 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 14) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 August 2011 — its closest relative in 30 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 August 2011): 6, 14 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 116 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,348 winners, 30% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,101,310 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 589,084 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 178,362 | £6.20 |
| Match 3 | 71,427 | £8.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,675 | £11.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 38,409 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,472 | £34.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,348 | £89.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 752 | £160 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 41 | £3,362 |
| Match 5 | 1 | — |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £206,770 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £65,488,524 |