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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,933,988
The crowdHeld 47% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 24 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 23 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 23 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (19, 38) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 July 2011 — its closest relative in 23 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 133 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈29M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,613 winners, 82% more than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,846,202 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 857,271 | £5.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 182,811 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 | 139,437 | £6.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36,478 | £16.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 64,832 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,711 | £48.10 |
| Match 4 | 3,613 | £50.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,697 | £108 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 63 | £3,313 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £37,950 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £417,451 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £23,933,988 |