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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£25,974,202
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 375 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 374 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 374 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 21, 39) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 June 2009 — its closest relative in 374 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 April 2011): 21 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2, 6 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 111 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈49M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,363 winners, 23% fewer than the 3.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,140,588 | £6.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 483,190 | £6.10 |
| Match 3 | 117,628 | £11.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 92,943 | £14.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 76,912 | £19.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,156 | £48.10 |
| Match 4 | 2,363 | £87.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,616 | £183 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 135 | £3,293 |
| Match 5 | 17 | £36,611 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 14 | £156,654 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £25,974,202 |