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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£94,101,576
The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 371 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 370 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 370 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 26, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 December 2008 — its closest relative in 370 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 March 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 110 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈67M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 5,393 winners, 30% more than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 2,067,450 | £5.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 654,937 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 | 223,159 | £10.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 129,129 | £17.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 148,679 | £17.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 9,036 | £55.70 |
| Match 4 | 5,393 | £65.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 3,552 | £142 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 188 | £4,022 |
| Match 5 | 29 | £36,502 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 16 | £233,137 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £94,101,576 |