Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,368,200
The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 365 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 364 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 364 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 24) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 January 2011 — its closest relative in 364 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 January 2011): 24 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈47M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 109,636 winners, 15% fewer than the 129k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,119,080 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 460,576 | £6.70 |
| Match 3 | 109,636 | £13.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 85,680 | £15.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 75,466 | £20.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,790 | £52.80 |
| Match 4 | 2,557 | £83.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,684 | £182 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 115 | £3,994 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £45,937 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 10 | £226,621 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5 | £4,873,640 |