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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,748,500
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 356 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 355 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 December 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 355 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (8, 28) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 June 2010 — its closest relative in 355 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 November 2010): 28 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 133 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈41M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,769 winners, 9% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,052,275 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 401,078 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 | 115,331 | £11.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 75,241 | £17.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 76,211 | £19.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,434 | £53.80 |
| Match 4 | 2,769 | £73.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,839 | £159 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 140 | £3,134 |
| Match 5 | 12 | — |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £541,176 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,748,500 |