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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£38,556,252
The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 355 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 354 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 November 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 354 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (36, 41, 49) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 August 2009 — its closest relative in 354 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 November 2010): 36 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 163 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈59M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,379 winners, 35% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,180,008 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 579,066 | £5.60 |
| Match 3 | 106,847 | £14.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 101,747 | £14.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 76,311 | £21.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,717 | £48.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,379 | £95.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,664 | £195 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 132 | £3,693 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £68,245 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £300,602 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £38,556,252 |