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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,202,500
The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 341 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 340 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 340 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 27, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 January 2007 — its closest relative in 340 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 August 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈35M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,160 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 861,493 | £7.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 345,286 | £7.80 |
| Match 3 | 97,891 | £12.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 66,187 | £17.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 56,756 | £24.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,310 | £62.10 |
| Match 4 | 2,058 | £91.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,160 | £231 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 100 | £4,015 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £80,303 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £495,204 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £12,202,500 |